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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
Dacia Arena
Atalanta logo

Udinese
1 - 1
Atalanta

Walace (44')
Ferreira (41'), Bijol (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ederson (90+2')
Hateboer (37'), Koopmeiners (58'), de Roon (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 0-1 Udinese
Saturday, November 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 1-0 Sturm Graz
Thursday, November 9 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Udinese 1-1 Atalanta BC

On the last eight occasions Udinese have hosted this equivalent fixture, both teams have always scored - averaging nearly four goals per game between them. It could be a more closely contested affair this week, though, as the improving home side are unbeaten in five league matches - Atalanta may have to settle for a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
UdineseDrawAtalanta BC
29.13% (-1.259 -1.26) 26.13% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 44.74% (1.264 1.26)
Both teams to score 51.57% (-0.651 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.41% (-0.53100000000001 -0.53)52.58% (0.53 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.76% (-0.458 -0.46)74.24% (0.456 0.46)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.33% (-1.192 -1.19)32.67% (1.191 1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.78% (-1.355 -1.36)69.22% (1.355 1.35)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.58% (0.38200000000001 0.38)23.41% (-0.382 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.59% (0.55 0.55)57.41% (-0.551 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 29.13%
    Atalanta BC 44.73%
    Draw 26.12%
UdineseDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 8.56% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 6.95% (-0.234 -0.23)
2-0 @ 4.79% (-0.217 -0.22)
3-1 @ 2.59% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-0 @ 1.79% (-0.143 -0.14)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 29.13%
1-1 @ 12.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.65% (0.159 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.12%
0-1 @ 11.1% (0.35 0.35)
1-2 @ 9.02% (0.097 0.1)
0-2 @ 8.06% (0.342 0.34)
1-3 @ 4.36% (0.094 0.09)
0-3 @ 3.9% (0.207 0.21)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.58% (0.052 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.42% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 44.73%

How you voted: Udinese vs Atalanta

Udinese
19.4%
Draw
25.0%
Atalanta BC
55.6%
36
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 5pm
Oct 9, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 9
Udinese
2-2
Atalanta
Deulofeu (67'), Perez (78')
Lookman (36'), Muriel (56' pen.)
Jan 9, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 21
Udinese
2-6
Atalanta
Djimsiti (59' og.), Beto (88')
Becao (30'), Deulofeu (44')
Pasalic (17'), Muriel (22', 76'), Malinovskyi (43'), Maehle (89'), Pessina (90+2')
de Roon (45+1'), Djimsiti (77')
Oct 24, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 9
Atalanta
1-1
Udinese
Malinovskyi (56')
Lovato (76'), Pezzella (78')
Piero Gasperini (90+1')
Beto (90+4')
Samir (17'), Pussetto (58')
Apr 3, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 29
Atalanta
3-2
Udinese
Muriel (19', 43'), Zapata (61')
Pereyra (45'), Stryger Larsen (71')
Pereyra (58'), Samir (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan37296287206793
2AC Milan37228773462774
3Bologna371814554302468
4Juventus371814552312168
5Atalanta BCAtalanta362061067392866
6Roma371891064442063
7Lazio371861348381060
8Fiorentina361591255421354
9Torino371314103633353
10Napoli371313115548752
11Genoa371113134345-246
12Monza371112143949-1045
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37910183649-1337
14Lecce37813163254-2237
15CagliariCagliari37812174065-2536
16FrosinoneFrosinone37811184468-2435
17Udinese37519133653-1734
18Empoli3789202753-2633
RSassuoloSassuolo3778224274-3229
RSalernitana37210252978-4916


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