Bahia
2 - 0
Fluminense

Gilberto (39' pen., 45+2')
Gilberto (73'), Capixaba (86')
Rossi (66')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Claro (37'), Martins (62'), Yago (70'), Fred (72'), Bobadilla (90+2')
Manoel (66')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Fluminense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Fluminense are not a great road side, losing four straight matches by a single goal, but they did win this exact fixture last year against them, and they have usually been able to answer a defeat by picking up at least a point in their next fixture. Bahia have conceded the second-most goals in the league (49), so we expect Flu to have at least a few scoring opportunities, although they should be able to earn a result given the precision of Gilberto in attack, who is capable of making his chances count. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
Bahia	Draw	Fluminense
46.56%	26.12%	27.31%

Both teams to score 50.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.45%

53.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.94%

75.05%

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.02%

22.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.23%

56.76%

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.41%

34.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.69%

71.3%

Score Analysis

Bahia 46.55%

Fluminense 27.31%

Draw 26.12%

Bahia	Draw	Fluminense
1-0 @ 11.68% 2-1 @ 9.13% 2-0 @ 8.59% 3-1 @ 4.47% 3-0 @ 4.21% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.9% Total : 46.55%	1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 7.94% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.12%	0-1 @ 8.44% 1-2 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 4.48% 1-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.18% Total : 27.31%