Brasileiro | Gameweek 28

Oct 22, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Flamengo
1 - 0
Vasco

Gerson (76')
Bruno (23')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Henrique (33'), Paulinho (90+5')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Live Updates

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Vasco da Gama.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-2 Flamengo
Thursday, October 19 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vasco da Gama

All competitions

Last Game: Vasco 1-0 Fortaleza
Thursday, October 19 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 57.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 19.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Flamengo in this match.

Result
Flamengo	Draw	Vasco da Gama
57.06% ( 0.11)	23.27% ( 0.28)	19.67% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 50.35% (

-1.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.71% (

-1.65)

49.28% (

1.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.66% (

-1.5)

71.34% (

1.5)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.95% (

-0.55)

17.04% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.8% (

-0.98)

47.2% (

0.97)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.69% (

-1.37)

39.3% (

1.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.99% (

-1.3)

76.01% (

1.3)

Score Analysis

Flamengo 57.05%

Vasco da Gama 19.67%

Draw 23.26%

Flamengo	Draw	Vasco da Gama
1-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.58) 2-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.91% Total : 57.05%	1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.26%	0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.38% Total : 19.67%