Brasileiro | Gameweek 3
Apr 20, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Fluminense2 - 1Vasco
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Vasco da Gama.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bahia 2-1 Fluminense
Wednesday, April 17 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Wednesday, April 17 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 2-1 Vasco
Wednesday, April 17 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Wednesday, April 17 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 46.52%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
Result | ||
Fluminense | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
46.52% ( -0.15) | 24.56% ( -0.28) | 28.92% ( 0.43) |
Both teams to score 56.46% ( 1.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.87% ( 1.46) | 46.13% ( -1.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.57% ( 1.36) | 68.43% ( -1.36) |
Fluminense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.08% ( 0.53) | 19.92% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.94% ( 0.84) | 52.06% ( -0.84) |
Vasco da Gama Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.51% ( 1.06) | 29.49% ( -1.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.5% ( 1.27) | 65.51% ( -1.27) |
Score Analysis |
Fluminense 46.52%
Vasco da Gama 28.92%
Draw 24.56%
Fluminense | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
1-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.44) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.93% Total : 46.52% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.32% Total : 28.92% |
Head to Head
May 7, 2023 1am
Gameweek 4
Fluminense
1-1
Vasco
Nov 2, 2019 10pm
Gameweek 30
Fluminense
0-0
Vasco
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-18 09:49:16
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 13 |
2 | Bahia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 13 |
3 | FlamengoFlamengo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 11 |
4 | Botafogo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
5 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
6 | Cruzeiro | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
7 | Atletico Mineiro | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
8 | BragantinoBragantino | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
9 | PalmeirasPalmeiras | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
10 | FortalezaFortaleza | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
11 | InternacionalInternacional | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
12 | Gremio | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
13 | Vasco da GamaVasco | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 6 |
14 | CriciumaCriciuma | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
15 | JuventudeJuventude | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 5 |
16 | Corinthians | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 5 |
17 | Fluminense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
18 | Vitoria | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 1 |
19 | Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 |
20 | Cuiaba | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 |
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