Championship

Championship | Gameweek 27

Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
2 - 2
Swansea

Dembele (38'), James (90+5')
Sunjic (29'), Stansfield (45+2'), Hogan (56'), Buchanan (83'), James (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Darling (36'), Lowe (58')
Darling (70'), Allen (76'), Yates (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Birmingham
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swansea City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Swansea 2-0 Morecambe
Saturday, January 6 at 5.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Birmingham City 2-1 Swansea City

Birmingham felt lost with Rooney at the helm, but the appointment of Mowbray ticks all the right boxes, and he will be desperate to begin with a win on Saturday. Swansea are also hoping for a new manager bounce, but we believe that a fired-up St Andrew's crowd will witness a match to remember in the Second City. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Swansea City
36.06% ( -0)	26.09% ( 0.01)	37.85% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 53.92% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.43% (

-0.04)

50.56% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.52% (

-0.03)

72.48% (

0.03)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.92% (

-0.02)

27.08% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.54% (

-0.02)

62.45% (

0.02)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.94% (

-0.02)

26.06% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.9% (

-0.03)

61.1% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 36.06%

Swansea City 37.85%

Draw 26.08%

Birmingham City	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.02% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 36.06%	1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.08%	0-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.38% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 37.85%