Championship

Championship | Gameweek 21

Dec 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
1 - 1
Swansea

Johnson (70' pen.)
Laurent (38'), Gooch (42'), Pearson (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Darling (89')
Cabango (41'), Bolasie (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions

Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Swansea
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Swansea City

Stoke have been very poor of late but have the chance to put things right quickly in front of their home supporters against a Swansea side who are also without permanent management. There was a real embrace between the players and the Swans faithful following the win at Rotherham, and we feel that the slight feel-good factor under Sheehan could help them to a point on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Swansea City
38.13% ( 0.16)	25.38% ( -0)	36.48% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 56.38% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.57% (

-0)

47.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.35% (

-0)

69.64%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.54% (

0.09)

24.46% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.09% (

0.12)

58.9% (

-0.12)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.63% (

-0.09)

25.37% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.83% (

-0.12)

60.16% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Stoke City 38.13%

Swansea City 36.48%

Draw 25.38%

Stoke City	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 38.13%	1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.21% 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 36.48%