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Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Coventry Building Society Arena
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Coventry
1 - 1
Southampton

Wright (50')
Palmer (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Edozie (67')
Walker-Peters (37'), Martin (38'), Bednarek (70'), Aribo (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 2-0 Birmingham
Friday, December 8 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-1 Southampton
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Coventry City 1-2 Southampton

With Coventry having recently shown life again under Robins, they will expect to be competitive throughout the 90 minutes against the Saints. Nevertheless, we feel that the visitors will have enough quality in the final third to claim all three points, potentially through a late goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Coventry CityDrawSouthampton
39.59% (-0.232 -0.23) 24.97% (0.052 0.05) 35.44% (0.179 0.18)
Both teams to score 57.73% (-0.157 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.36% (-0.215 -0.22)45.64% (0.212 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.04% (-0.204 -0.2)67.96% (0.202 0.2)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (-0.212 -0.21)22.91% (0.209 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.33% (-0.311 -0.31)56.66% (0.308 0.31)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.88%25.12% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.17% (0.00099999999999767 0)59.82% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 39.59%
    Southampton 35.44%
    Draw 24.96%
Coventry CityDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 8.63% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.48% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.25% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.24% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.07% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 39.59%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.75% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.96%
1-2 @ 8.09% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.95% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.49% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.73% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.53% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 35.44%

How you voted: Coventry vs Southampton

Coventry City
25.0%
Draw
33.3%
Southampton
41.7%
12
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Fourth Round
Southampton
2-1
Coventry
Armstrong (63'), Walker-Peters (112')
Valery (78'), Walker-Peters (113')
Gyokeres (22')
Eccles (41'), Hamer (45+2'), Sheaf (58'), Kane (105'), Clarke-Salter (117')
Apr 28, 2012 12.30pm
Nov 5, 2011 3pm
Oct 28, 2008 3pm
Oct 4, 2008 3pm
Coventry
4-1
Southampton
Tabb (19', 87'), McKenzie (33'), Best (47')
Best (18')
Surman (63')
Davis (36'), James (42')
rhs 2.0
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Group A

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