Championship

Championship | Gameweek 12

Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
1 - 0
Sheff Weds

Asprilla (82')
Porteous (45'), Lewis (50')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hendrick (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Watford
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sheffield Wednesday

All competitions

Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-0 Huddersfield
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Watford 2-1 Sheffield Wednesday

Sheffield Wednesday could well be rejuvenated under new management and will be desperate for a first league win of the season, while their hosts are yet to get going this term, but following the break, we see Watford having enough to click into place and return with a victory at Vicarage Road given the superior quality in their squad.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 22.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Watford.

Result
Watford	Draw	Sheffield Wednesday
54.17% ( 0.15)	23.58% ( 0.01)	22.24% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 53.12% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.54% (

-0.22)

47.46% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.33% (

-0.2)

69.67% (

0.2)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.58% (

-0.02)

17.42% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.13% (

-0.05)

47.86% (

0.04)

Sheffield Wednesday Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.33% (

-0.27)

35.66% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.56% (

-0.28)

72.43% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Watford 54.17%

Sheffield Wednesday 22.24%

Draw 23.58%

Watford	Draw	Sheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.78% 2-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.7% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.7% Total : 54.17%	1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.58%	0-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 22.24%