Copa del Rey | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg

Apr 4, 2023 at 8.10pm UK

San Mamés Barria

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 1
Osasuna

(Osasuna win 2-1 on aggregate)

Williams (33')
Vesga (21'), Sancet (94')

FT
(aet)

Ibanez (116')
Torro (43'), Barja (75')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa del Rey clash between Athletic Bilbao and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-0 Getafe
Saturday, April 1 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Osasuna

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Mallorca 0-0 Osasuna
Friday, March 31 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We say: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Osasuna (Osasuna win 2-1 on aggregate)

Athletic's rich history in the Copa del Rey has to be taken into account here, but the Basque outfit could face frustration on Tuesday night. Osasuna can be a very tough nut to crack, and we are backing the visitors to secure a draw on the evening, which would send them into the final of the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 51.14%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 21.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.71%).

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Osasuna
51.14% ( -2.55)	27.1% ( 1.52)	21.75% ( 1.03)

Both teams to score 42.62% (

-2.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.01% (

-4.16)

60.99% (

4.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.01% (

-3.22)

80.99% (

3.22)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.91% (

-2.87)

24.09% (

2.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.62% (

-4.26)

58.38% (

4.26)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.15% (

-1.33)

43.85% (

1.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20% (

-1.12)

80% (

1.12)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 51.14%

Osasuna 21.75%

Draw 27.1%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Osasuna
1-0 @ 15.03% ( 1.05) 2-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.45) 3-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.52) 3-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.61) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.36) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.32) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.37) Other @ 2.3% Total : 51.14%	1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.43) 0-0 @ 10.56% ( 1.54) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.33) Other @ 0.51% Total : 27.1%	0-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.99) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.75%