Coupe de France | Round of 16

Feb 8, 2023 at 8.10pm UK

Stade Vélodrome

Marseille
2 - 1
PSG

Sanchez (31' pen.), Malinovskyi (57')
Guendouzi (48'), Mbemba (49')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ramos (45+2')
Mendes (64')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Coupe de France

Last Game: Marseille 1-3 Nice
Sunday, February 5 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Coupe de France

Last Game: PSG 2-1 Toulouse
Saturday, February 4 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Marseille 1-1 Paris Saint-Germain (PSG to win on penalties)

Marseille's performance against Nice was not one to write home about, but Tudor will welcome several prominent players back to the first XI, and goals have not been a problem for this prolific Olympiens squad - nor should they be against a leaky and depleted PSG backline. PSG cannot always rely on Messi stunners to bail them out amid their injury crisis - which is slowly improving - and we can envisage Marseille holding the injury-hit French champions to a low-scoring draw, but the Parisiens' penalty prowess should see them through to the last eight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.38%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Marseille win was 2-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
27.9% ( 0.02)	21.66% ( -0)	50.44% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 66.08% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.86% (

0.02)

33.14% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.11% (

0.02)

54.88% (

-0.02)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.45% (

0.02)

23.55% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.4% (

0.03)

57.6% (

-0.03)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.43% (

-0)

13.57% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.33% (

-0)

40.67% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Marseille 27.9%

Paris Saint-Germain 50.44%

Draw 21.66%

Marseille	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 6.67% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.62% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.34% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.61% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 27.9%	1-1 @ 9.23% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.19% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.44% Total : 21.66%	1-2 @ 9.22% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.14% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.44% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.24% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.07% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.22% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.12% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.22% ( -0) 3-4 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 3.95% Total : 50.44%