EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Birmingham1 - 3Cardiff
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Birmingham 2-1 Plymouth
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Birmingham City 2-1 Cardiff City
Birmingham are on an impressive run of results heading into this one, and the added advantage of playing on home turf makes them favourites. We are backing the home team to come out on top, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Cardiff City |
42.34% ( 0.31) | 27.45% ( 0.01) | 30.21% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 48.18% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.81% ( -0.15) | 57.19% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.95% ( -0.12) | 78.05% ( 0.12) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.31% ( 0.1) | 26.69% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.06% ( 0.12) | 61.94% ( -0.12) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.72% ( -0.31) | 34.28% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.02% ( -0.34) | 70.98% ( 0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City 42.34%
Cardiff City 30.21%
Draw 27.44%
Birmingham City | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 12.08% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.03% Total : 42.34% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.44% | 0-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.27% Total : 30.21% |
How you voted: Birmingham vs Cardiff
Birmingham City
75.8%Draw
4.8%Cardiff City
19.4%62
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Aug 13, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Cardiff
1-0
Birmingham
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Cardiff
1-1
Birmingham
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Birmingham
2-2
Cardiff
May 1, 2021 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-01 00:52:51
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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