FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Oakwell Stadium

Barnsley
3 - 3
Horsham

Watters (14'), Jalo (45+1'), Durand de Gevigney (64')
Dodgson (35'), McCart (54')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Fenelon (22'), Hammond (38' pen.), Richards (81')
Hester-Cook (25')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's FA Cup clash between Barnsley and Horsham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions

Last Game: Barnsley 2-2 Fleetwood
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Horsham

Last Game: Carlisle 2-0 Horsham
Saturday, November 6 at 3pm in FA Cup

This is a free hit for Horsham, and they are certainly talented enough to make this an uncomfortable match for Barnsley. The hosts are one of the strongest sides in League One, though, and we are expecting them to advance to the next round of the competition without any major problems. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 70.74%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Horsham had a probability of 12.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 3-0 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.65%), while for a Horsham win it was 1-2 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Barnsley	Draw	Horsham
70.74%	16.76%	12.5%

Both teams to score 56.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.53%

33.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.74%

55.25%

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.59%

8.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.78%

29.22%

Horsham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.34%

38.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.59%

75.4%

Score Analysis

Barnsley 70.74%

Horsham 12.5%

Draw 16.76%

Barnsley	Draw	Horsham
2-0 @ 9.96% 2-1 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 8.22% 1-0 @ 8.05% 3-1 @ 7.82% 4-0 @ 5.09% 4-1 @ 4.84% 3-2 @ 3.71% 5-0 @ 2.52% 5-1 @ 2.4% 4-2 @ 2.3% 5-2 @ 1.14% 6-0 @ 1.04% 6-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.19% Total : 70.74%	1-1 @ 7.65% 2-2 @ 4.5% 0-0 @ 3.25% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.19% Total : 16.76%	1-2 @ 3.63% 0-1 @ 3.09% 0-2 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.43% 1-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.73% Total : 12.5%