FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round

Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
1 - 1
Barnet

McLoughlin (44')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Collinge (89')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Newport County and Barnet, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Morecambe 1-2 Newport
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barnet

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Wealdstone 3-2 Barnet
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Newport County 3-1 Barnet

While Barnet are in the midst of a rut in their league campaign, they do still have the tools to pose a threat to Newport County, particularly going forward. We anticipate them causing problems for the Exiles but ultimately see the hosts booking their place in the third round given their superior quality all over the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Barnet
40.51% ( -0.01)	24.04% ( 0.02)	35.44% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 61.09% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.73% (

-0.08)

41.27% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.34% (

-0.08)

63.66% (

0.08)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.44% (

-0.04)

20.56% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.91% (

-0.06)

53.08% (

0.06)

Barnet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.9% (

-0.04)

23.1% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.06% (

-0.06)

56.94% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Newport County 40.51%

Barnet 35.44%

Draw 24.03%

Newport County	Draw	Barnet
2-1 @ 8.71% 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 40.51%	1-1 @ 11% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.03%	1-2 @ 8.07% 0-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.49% 1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 35.44%