FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
1 - 1
Eastleigh

Clarke (56')
Payne (28'), Baker (79'), Waite (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Maguire (82' pen.)
Langston (26'), McCallum (63'), Croll (67'), Harris (83'), Quigley (88')
Langston (38')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Newport County and Eastleigh, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Newport
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Eastleigh

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Eastleigh 4-4 Dag & Red
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

We said: Newport County 1-2 Eastleigh

Newport have been stuttering in League Two of late and may not be the outstanding favourites to advance to round four at Rodney Parade on the weekend. Eastleigh have shown their effectiveness in knocking out superior opposition already this season, and we believe that the Spitfires will do the same in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 63.65%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 16.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 1-2 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Eastleigh
63.65% ( 0.02)	19.51% ( 0)	16.84% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 57.61% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.94% (

-0.07)

37.06% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.75% (

-0.07)

59.25% (

0.07)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.94% (

-0.02)

11.06% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.58% (

-0.03)

35.41% (

0.03)

Eastleigh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.77% (

-0.07)

35.22% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.02% (

-0.07)

71.98% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Newport County 63.66%

Eastleigh 16.84%

Draw 19.51%

Newport County	Draw	Eastleigh
2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.23% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.98% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.82% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.08% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.75% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.68% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 3.62% Total : 63.66%	1-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 19.51%	1-2 @ 4.67% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.12% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 16.84%