Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 66.21%. A draw has a probability of 19.4% and a win for Osasuna has a probability of 14.35%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Osasuna win it is 0-1 (4.3%).
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Osasuna |
66.21% ( -0.41) | 19.44% ( 0.04) | 14.35% ( 0.36) |
Both teams to score 51.7% ( 0.83) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.14% ( 0.6) | 41.86% ( -0.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.74% ( 0.6) | 64.26% ( -0.61) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.22% ( 0.06) | 11.78% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.02% ( 0.14) | 36.98% ( -0.14) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.6% ( 0.9) | 41.4% ( -0.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.09% ( 0.78) | 77.91% ( -0.79) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Osasuna |
2-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.25) 1-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.66% Total : 66.21% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.44% | 0-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.63% Total : 14.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |