Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.65%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 0-1 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Mallorca |
37.41% ( 0.08) | 29.04% ( 0.03) | 33.56% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 44.65% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.96% ( -0.11) | 62.04% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.23% ( -0.08) | 81.76% ( 0.08) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.1% ( -0) | 31.89% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.66% ( -0) | 68.34% ( 0) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.56% ( -0.13) | 34.44% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.85% ( -0.14) | 71.15% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Mallorca |
1-0 @ 12.55% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.91% 3-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 37.41% | 1-1 @ 13.38% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.6% Total : 29.03% | 0-1 @ 11.7% 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 33.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |