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La Liga | Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Celta Vigo logo

Cadiz
2 - 2
Celta Vigo

Juanmi (66'), Machis (90+10')
Juanmi (72'), Alcaraz (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Aspas (11'), Swedberg (58')
Tapia (33'), Manquillo (41'), Aspas (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 2-0 Cadiz
Saturday, February 17 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-2 Barcelona
Saturday, February 17 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Cadiz 1-1 Celta Vigo

It is so difficult to back either of these two sides at the moment, so we have had to settle on a 1-1 draw, which was also on the scoreline in the reverse meeting between the teams in Vigo earlier this season. The desire not to lose is expected to make Sunday's contest a tense and nervy affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
CadizDrawCelta Vigo
30.92% (-0.291 -0.29) 28.32% (0.23 0.23) 40.76% (0.052 0.05)
Both teams to score 46% (-0.749 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.93% (-0.891 -0.89)60.07% (0.884 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.71% (-0.684 -0.68)80.29% (0.676 0.68)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.72% (-0.68899999999999 -0.69)35.28% (0.68 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.96% (-0.725 -0.73)72.04% (0.71599999999999 0.72)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.07% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)28.92% (0.394 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.2% (-0.498 -0.5)64.8% (0.489 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 30.92%
    Celta Vigo 40.75%
    Draw 28.31%
CadizDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 10.63% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 6.87% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.54% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.39% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.92% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 30.92%
1-1 @ 13.18% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 10.2% (0.331 0.33)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.31%
0-1 @ 12.65% (0.28 0.28)
1-2 @ 8.18% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.85% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 40.75%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Celta Vigo

Cadiz
29.2%
Draw
30.8%
Celta Vigo
40.0%
65
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 15
Celta Vigo
1-1
Cadiz
Strand Larsen (57')
Dotor (90+3'), Dotor (90+3')
Ramos (16')
Iza (12'), Sobrino (21'), Gil (45+2'), Mbaye (59'), Alejo (74'), Alcaraz (90+3')
Chust (33')
May 28, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 37
Cadiz
1-0
Celta Vigo
Sobrino (53')
Lozano (10'), Sobrino (27'), Bongonda (39'), Hernandez (59'), Guardiola (60'), Alcaraz (62'), Alejo (76'), Fede (90+5'), Escalante (90')

Galan (16'), Nunez (45'), de la Torre (48'), Oscar (60'), Solari (63'), Aspas (90+5')
Sep 2, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 4
Celta Vigo
3-0
Cadiz
Aspas (56', 75'), Oscar (62')
Strand Larsen (78')

Lozano (27'), Zaldua (90+1')
Feb 12, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 24
Cadiz
0-0
Celta Vigo
Ledesma (82'), Jonsson (88'), Hernandez (90+4')
Cervi (25'), Galan (52')
Sep 17, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 5
Celta Vigo
1-2
Cadiz
Mina (64')
Galhardo (48'), Tapia (74'), Mendez (89')
Lozano (38'), Espino (43')
Sobrino (46'), Haroyan (52'), Alarcon (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid36296183226193
2Barcelona35237572432976
3GironaGirona36236775453075
4Atletico MadridAtletico36234967392873
5Athletic Bilbao361711858372162
6Real BetisBetis35141384641555
7Real Sociedad351412948371154
8Villarreal36149136060051
9Valencia35139133739-248
10Getafe361013134151-1043
11AlavesAlaves36119163445-1142
12Sevilla361011154750-341
13Osasuna36118174054-1441
14Rayo Vallecano36814142944-1538
15Celta Vigo36910174254-1237
16Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
17Mallorca36715142941-1236
18CadizCadiz36614162549-2432
RGranada3649233770-3321
RAlmeria35211223570-3517


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