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La Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Atletico Madrid logo

Girona
0 - 1
Atletico


Stuani (90+11'), Gazzaniga (90+12')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Morata (90+1')
Llorente (57'), Savic (66'), De Paul (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Girona and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Getafe 3-2 Girona
Saturday, March 4 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 6-1 Sevilla
Saturday, March 4 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Girona 1-2 Atletico Madrid

This has the potential to be a very tricky match for Atletico due to Girona's home record this season, but the Red and Whites are in impressive form at the moment and will fancy their chances of claiming another three points on Monday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Girona had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
GironaDrawAtletico Madrid
31.82% (0.676 0.68) 26.6% (0.361 0.36) 41.58% (-1.042 -1.04)
Both teams to score 51.37% (-0.868 -0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.58% (-1.235 -1.24)53.42% (1.232 1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.05% (-1.057 -1.06)74.95% (1.053 1.05)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.82% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)31.17% (0.158 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.49% (-0.186 -0.19)67.51% (0.182 0.18)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.64% (-1.084 -1.08)25.36% (1.082 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.85% (-1.511 -1.51)60.15% (1.507 1.51)
Score Analysis
    Girona 31.82%
    Atletico Madrid 41.58%
    Draw 26.59%
GironaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.21% (0.399 0.4)
2-1 @ 7.37% (0.063 0.06)
2-0 @ 5.37% (0.21 0.21)
3-1 @ 2.86% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.09% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 31.82%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 7.91% (0.376 0.38)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 10.84% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 8.67% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-2 @ 7.44% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.97% (-0.202 -0.2)
0-3 @ 3.4% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 41.58%

How you voted: Girona vs Atletico

Girona
12.0%
Draw
14.8%
Atletico Madrid
73.1%
216
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3.15pm
Apr 2, 2019 6.30pm
Jan 16, 2019 6.30pm
Round of 16
Atletico
3-3
Girona
Kalinic (12'), Correa (66'), Griezmann (84')
Hernandez (69'), Griezmann (85')
Fernandez (37'), Stuani (59'), Doumbia (88')
Iraizoz (90'), Porro (90')
Jan 9, 2019 6.30pm
Round of 16
Girona
1-1
Atletico
Lozano (34')
Griezmann (9')
Montero (27'), Godin (67')
Dec 2, 2018 3.15pm
Girona
1-1
Atletico
Stuani (45' pen.)
Ramalho (82' og.)
Griezmann (17'), Koke (41'), Partey (72'), Costa (89'), Niguez (89')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, June 14
 
8pm
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2pm
 
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8pm
Sunday, June 16
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 17
 
2pm
 
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8pm
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
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2pm
 
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Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
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Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
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8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
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Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
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8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
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Tables header RHS

Group A

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2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

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1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

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1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

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1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

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1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

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1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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