League One

League One | Gameweek 23

Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK

Sixfields Stadium

Northampton
2 - 1
Oxford Utd

Bowie (50'), Simpson (90+7')
Brough (66'), Simpson (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Brannagan (62' pen.)
Brown (90+2')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Carlisle 2-2 Northampton
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Oxford United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Northampton Town 2-2 Oxford United

This could be a Christmas cracker with both teams scoring plenty of goals in recent weeks. Northampton's home form is strong, but Oxford clearly possess greater technical ability. As such, we do not think that either manager would be disappointed with gaining a point. Although this would not be enough to move Oxford into the automatic promotion positions, it would be a decent result to build on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	Oxford United
34.55% ( -0.06)	25.46% ( -0.02)	39.98% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 55.84% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.99% (

0.06)

48.01% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.82% (

0.05)

70.18% (

-0.06)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.24% (

-0.01)

26.76% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.96% (

-0.01)

62.03% (

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.24% (

0.06)

23.76% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.09% (

0.09)

57.9% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 34.55%

Oxford United 39.98%

Draw 25.46%

Northampton Town	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.49% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 3.13% Total : 34.55%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.46%	0-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 39.98%