League Two

League Two | Gameweek 27

Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadium mk

MK Dons
1 - 1
Wrexham

Kemp (26')
Harvie (83'), Gilbey (90+5'), O'Hora (90+8')
Lewington (59')

FT(HT: 1-1)

McClean (22')
Boyle (48'), O'Connell (62')
Boyle (77')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions

Last Game: Swindon 1-2 MK Dons
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wrexham

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Notts County
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

It is difficult to ignore the home form of MK Dons and away form of Wrexham when choosing a result on Tuesday night. A case can be made for either to win it, but we believe that two quality sides will end up with a point each, which both managers would likely accept ahead of kickoff. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 53.1%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	Wrexham
53.1% ( 0.02)	22.65% ( -0.01)	24.25% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 58.74% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.81% (

0.02)

41.19% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.41% (

0.02)

63.58% (

-0.02)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.45% (

0.02)

15.54% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.52% (

0.03)

44.48% (

-0.03)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.55% (

30.45% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.34% (

66.66% (

-0)

Score Analysis

MK Dons 53.1%

Wrexham 24.25%

Draw 22.64%

MK Dons	Draw	Wrexham
2-1 @ 9.75% 1-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.2% 3-1 @ 6.05% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.09% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 3.69% Total : 53.1%	1-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.64%	1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.35% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 24.25%