League Two

League Two | Gameweek 29

Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
1 - 0
Wrexham

Palmer-Houlden (34')
Morris (37'), Evans (55'), Charsley (64'), Waite (89'), Townsend (90'), Palmer-Houlden (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Parkinson (19'), McClean (37'), O'Connell (84'), Palmer (90+1')
Boyle (18')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Newport County and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Eastleigh 1-3 Newport
Tuesday, January 16 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wrexham

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Newport County 0-1 Wrexham

Not since October 7 have Newport fallen short in a League Two home fixture, but the Exiles still possess a tendency to ship goals at Rodney Parade - conceding in 11 of their 13 such matches so far - and FA Cup tiredness may also come into play for the hosts. Wrexham's shortcomings on the road - especially offensively - means that Newport should still give the title-chasers a good run for their money, and only one goal may separate the two sides on Saturday, but Parkinson's team should be the ones to score it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Wrexham
36.11% ( -0.3)	25.22% ( -0.08)	38.66% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 56.9% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.26% (

0.34)

46.74% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.99% (

0.32)

69% (

-0.33)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.74% (

-0.01)

25.25% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.99% (

-0.01)

60.01% (

0.01)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.12% (

0.35)

23.87% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.93% (

0.51)

58.07% (

-0.51)

Score Analysis

Newport County 36.11%

Wrexham 38.66%

Draw 25.22%

Newport County	Draw	Wrexham
1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.75% Total : 36.11%	1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.22%	0-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2% Total : 38.66%