Coppa Italia | Quarter-Finals

Jan 9, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
0 - 0
Bologna

Bonaventura (116')

FT
(aet)

Ferguson (88'), Saelemaekers (109')

Fiorentina win 4-4 on penalties

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coppa Italia clash between Fiorentina and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-0 Fiorentina
Saturday, January 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bologna

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Genoa
Friday, January 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We say: Fiorentina 0-1 Bologna

The latest Derby dell'Appennino sees two teams separated by a huge mountain range meeting with little to choose between them this season. Only the lack of a first-rate striker has limited Fiorentina's progress, but Bologna boast an attack featuring Joshua Zirkzee and can upset the goal-shy Viola. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 16.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Bologna
61.5% ( -0.13)	22.05% ( 0.13)	16.44% ( 0)

Both teams to score 48.17% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.88% (

-0.55)

49.12% (

0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.81% (

-0.5)

71.19% (

0.5)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.53% (

-0.23)

15.47% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.66% (

-0.43)

44.34% (

0.43)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.99% (

-0.33)

43.01% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.7% (

-0.28)

79.3% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 61.49%

Bologna 16.44%

Draw 22.05%

Fiorentina	Draw	Bologna
1-0 @ 12.41% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.15% Total : 61.49%	1-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.8% Total : 22.05%	0-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.64% Total : 16.44%