Coupe de France | Quarter-Finals

Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Lyon
0 - 0
Strasbourg

Caleta-Car (88')

Mwanga (64'), Sissoko (88'), Bellaarouch (90+1')

Lyon win 4-3 on penalties

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coupe de France clash between Lyon and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions

Coupe de France

Last Game: Metz 1-2 Lyon
Friday, February 23 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Strasbourg

All competitions

Coupe de France

Last Game: Strasbourg 0-3 Brest
Saturday, February 24 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

These sides are going in opposite directions, and we trust the experience and quality of Lyon a lot more than Strasbourg, who will be relatively unfamiliar with a pressure situation like this. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Strasbourg
45.98% ( 0.03)	24.32% ( -0.01)	29.71% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 57.82% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.42% (

0.04)

44.57% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.06% (

0.04)

66.94% (

-0.04)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.48% (

0.03)

19.52% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.59% (

0.05)

51.41% (

-0.05)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.84% (

0.01)

28.16% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.15% (

0.01)

63.84% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Lyon 45.98%

Strasbourg 29.71%

Draw 24.31%

Lyon	Draw	Strasbourg
2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 45.98%	1-1 @ 11.38% 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.31%	1-2 @ 7.21% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.75% Total : 29.71%