Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 16

Dec 20, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Mercedes-Benz-Arena

Stuttgart
3 - 0
Augsburg

Undav (18'), Guirassy (45+1'), Fuhrich (69')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Demirovic (11'), Gumny (62'), Pedersen (71'), Dorsch (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Stuttgart
Sunday, December 17 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Augsburg 1-1 Dortmund
Saturday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Stuttgart 3-1 Augsburg

Stuggart have been very good this season and look set to challenge for a Champions League spot as long as they can keep churning out results as they have been doing up to this point. Augsburg are certainly no pushover, but we fancy the hosts to claim the points as we head into the three-week league break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 20.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 1-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
Stuttgart	Draw	Augsburg
57.91% ( -0.3)	21.24% ( 0.16)	20.84% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 58.99% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.26% (

-0.58)

38.74% (

0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.95% (

-0.61)

61.04% (

0.6)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.82% (

-0.28)

13.17% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.12% (

-0.56)

39.88% (

0.56)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.93% (

-0.2)

32.06% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.46% (

-0.23)

68.53% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Stuttgart 57.91%

Augsburg 20.84%

Draw 21.24%

Stuttgart	Draw	Augsburg
2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.64% Total : 57.91%	1-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.24%	1-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 20.84%