Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Famalicao |
40.41% ( -0.35) | 26.75% ( -0.06) | 32.84% ( 0.41) |
Both teams to score 51.22% ( 0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.24% ( 0.34) | 53.75% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.76% ( 0.28) | 75.23% ( -0.28) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.87% ( -0.03) | 26.13% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.8% ( -0.04) | 61.2% ( 0.04) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.35% ( 0.44) | 30.65% ( -0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.1% ( 0.52) | 66.9% ( -0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.25% Total : 40.4% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.75% | 0-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.1% Total : 32.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |