Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 19

Jan 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
4 - 0
AC Milan

Milinkovic-Savic (4'), Zaccagni (38'), Alberto (67' pen.), Anderson (75')
Milinkovic-Savic (33')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bennacer (26'), Kjaer (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between Lazio and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Bologna
Thursday, January 19 at 5pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 0-3 Inter Milan
Wednesday, January 18 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana

Goals
for

Top scorers

With both managers intent on controlling possession and playing offensive styles, this should be an entertaining clash between two of Italy's biggest clubs. However, Immobile's injury could prove pivotal in terms of influencing the result, with Milan always a potent threat in transition on the road. As such, we can envisage an important away win for Pioli's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Lazio	Draw	AC Milan
33.33% ( 1.33)	25.3% ( 0.05)	41.37% ( -1.38)

Both teams to score 56.11% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.46% (

0.18)

47.53% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.26% (

0.17)

69.74% (

-0.17)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.73% (

0.93)

27.27% (

-0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.29% (

1.2)

62.7% (

-1.2)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.14% (

-0.59)

22.85% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.41% (

-0.87)

56.59% (

0.87)

Score Analysis

Lazio 33.33%

AC Milan 41.37%

Draw 25.29%

Lazio	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.99% Total : 33.33%	1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.29%	0-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.3) 1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.18% Total : 41.37%