Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 1, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Libertad0 - 1Fortaleza
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Club Libertad 2-0 Fortaleza
Libertad's current form means they are backed to triumph against out-of-sorts Fortaleza, who could start August as they ended July — with a defeat. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Club Libertad | Draw | Fortaleza |
47.27% ( -0.24) | 26.26% ( 0.06) | 26.46% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 49.34% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.4% ( -0.12) | 54.59% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.06% ( -0.1) | 75.93% ( 0.1) |
Club Libertad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.9% ( -0.16) | 23.09% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.06% ( -0.24) | 56.94% ( 0.24) |
Fortaleza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.16% ( 0.08) | 35.84% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.38% ( 0.09) | 72.61% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Club Libertad 47.27%
Fortaleza 26.46%
Draw 26.26%
Club Libertad | Draw | Fortaleza |
1-0 @ 12.13% 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.82% Total : 47.27% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.26% | 0-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.95% Total : 26.46% |
How you voted: Libertad vs Fortaleza
Club Libertad
69.2%Draw
23.1%Fortaleza
7.7%13
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-18 22:19:03
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Chelsea | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 75 | 62 | 13 | 60 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 81 | 60 | 21 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 57 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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