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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 18, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Arouca
1 - 3
Guimaraes

Cristo (39' pen.)
Kouassi (45+2'), Simao (64'), Borevkovic (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Oliveira (50'), Thiago (53' og.), Silva (62')
Silva (33'), Silva (45+3'), Andre (72'), Lawal (82'), Ribeiro (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 5-0 Arouca
Sunday, May 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-3 Braga
Saturday, May 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 1-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes

Still licking their wounds from their defeat against Braga, Vitoria de Guimaraes will head into the weekend looking to pick up a morale-boosting result and end the season on a high. However, Arouca have rock-solid at home of late and we predict that they will do just enough to force a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
AroucaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
43.44% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01) 24.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 31.95% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.98% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.13% (0.017000000000003 0.02)44.87% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.77% (0.016000000000005 0.02)67.23% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.26% (0.0049999999999955 0)20.74% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)53.37% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.16% (0.015000000000001 0.02)26.84% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.85% (0.018000000000001 0.02)62.14% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 43.44%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 31.95%
    Draw 24.6%
AroucaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.42%
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 43.44%
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.57% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.6%
1-2 @ 7.58% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 7.32% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 4.82% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.32% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 31.95%

How you voted: Arouca vs Guimaraes

Arouca
37.5%
Draw
25.0%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 17
Guimaraes
2-1
Arouca
Silva (45'), Silva (64')
Pacheco (32')
Jason (8')
Montero (31'), Jason (40'), Trezza (90+3')
Mar 11, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 24
Guimaraes
0-2
Arouca
Mujica (50'), Antony (77')
Sep 18, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 7
Arouca
2-2
Guimaraes
Bukia (33'), Quaresma (70')
Silva (57'), Lameiras (90+12' pen.)
Feb 19, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 23
Guimaraes
1-3
Arouca
Estupinan (26')
Luz (67'), Quaresma (80'), Janvier (86'), Fernandes (88')
Basso (13'), Antony (35'), Bukia (41')
Kouassi (27'), Galovic (48'), Simao (70'), Silva (89')
Sep 18, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 6
Arouca
2-2
Guimaraes
Dabbagh (75'), Pite (90+4')
Bento Oleques (54')
Quaresma (7'), Silva (72')
Fernandes (23'), Quaresma (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon34293296296790
2Benfica34255477284980
3Porto34226663273672
4Braga34215871502168
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes34196952381463
6MoreirenseMoreirense34167113635155
7AroucaArouca34137145450446
8FamalicaoFamalicao341012123741-442
9Casa Pia34108163850-1238
10SC FarenseFarense34107174651-537
11Rio AveRio Ave3461993843-537
12Gil Vicente3499164252-1036
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3496194958-933
14Estrela Amadora34712153353-2033
15BoavistaBoavista34711163962-2332
16PortimonensePortimonense3488183972-3332
RVizela34511183666-3026
RChavesChaves3458213172-4123


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