MX23RW : Sunday, May 19 06:28:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Moreirense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 18, 2024 at 6pm UK
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Estoril

Moreirense
2 - 1
Estoril

Mingotti (5'), Franco (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Carlos (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-1 Moreirense
Sunday, May 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 0-1 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, May 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Moreirense 2-0 Estoril Praia

Moreirense have enjoyed an impressive return to the top flight and will be looking to close out the campaign on a high. Borges's men are currently firing on all cylinders having hit their stride once again and we see them coming away with all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.

Result
MoreirenseDrawEstoril Praia
38.61% (-1.357 -1.36) 25.37% (-0.376 -0.38) 36.02% (1.736 1.74)
Both teams to score 56.4% (1.564 1.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.61% (1.898 1.9)47.39% (-1.897 -1.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.4% (1.736 1.74)69.6% (-1.734 -1.73)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.81% (0.143 0.14)24.19% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.48% (0.204 0.2)58.52% (-0.202 -0.2)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.39% (1.925 1.93)25.61% (-1.924 -1.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.51% (2.552 2.55)60.49% (-2.551 -2.55)
Score Analysis
    Moreirense 38.61%
    Estoril Praia 36.02%
    Draw 25.36%
MoreirenseDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 8.79% (-0.676 -0.68)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-0 @ 6.24% (-0.452 -0.45)
3-1 @ 4.02% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.95% (-0.201 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.117 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 38.61%
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.505 -0.51)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.223 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.202 -0.2)
1-2 @ 8.16% (0.281 0.28)
0-2 @ 5.75% (0.175 0.18)
1-3 @ 3.7% (0.318 0.32)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.236 0.24)
0-3 @ 2.61% (0.214 0.21)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.169 0.17)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 36.02%

How you voted: Moreirense vs Estoril

Moreirense
77.8%
Draw
22.2%
Estoril Praia
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 17
Estoril
1-3
Moreirense
Carlos (90')
Gomes (25'), Fernandes (83')
Aparicio (30'), Marcelo (33'), Alan (74')
Ramos (39'), Alan (45+2'), Antonisse (73')
May 7, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 33
Estoril
1-0
Moreirense
Franco (64')
Mboula (44'), Vital (81'), Vega (90+3'), Fonte (90+4'), Joaozinho (90+5')
Vital (84')

Mane (53'), Amador (74'), Luis (81')
Dec 28, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 16
Moreirense
1-0
Estoril
Martins (28')
Soares (47'), Yan (84')

Carneiro Dias Resende Bruno (21'), Patrick (63'), Arthur (78'), Geraldes (87')
Feb 12, 2018 8pm
Moreirense
1-2
Estoril
Toze (10')
Semedo (60'), Belkaroui (86'), Sagna (89')
Allano (72'), Eduardo (81' pen.)
Ailton (19'), Kyriakou (54')
Sep 10, 2017 8.15pm
Estoril
0-2
Moreirense

Abner (53'), Allano (83')
Abarhoun (34'), Zizo (75')
Costa (26'), Santos (63'), Pena (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon34293296296790
2Benfica34255477284980
3Porto34226663273672
4Braga34215871502168
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes34196952381463
6MoreirenseMoreirense34167113635155
7AroucaArouca34137145450446
8FamalicaoFamalicao341012123741-442
9Casa Pia34108163850-1238
10SC FarenseFarense34107174651-537
11Rio AveRio Ave3461993843-537
12Gil Vicente3499164252-1036
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3496194958-933
14Estrela Amadora34712153353-2033
15BoavistaBoavista34711163962-2332
16PortimonensePortimonense3488183972-3332
RVizela34511183666-3026
RChavesChaves3458213172-4123


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!