Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 19

Jan 28, 2024 at 4.30pm UK

Signal-Iduna-Park

Dortmund
3 - 1
VfL Bochum

Fullkrug (6' pen., 72', 90+1' pen.)
Malen (56')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Schlotterbeck (45' og.)
Riemann (4'), Wittek (59'), Paciencia (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: FC Koln 0-4 Dortmund
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

VfL Bochum

All competitions

Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-0 Stuttgart
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-0 VfL Bochum

Dortmund have played like a rejuvenated side since returning from the winter break, having scored seven goals without reply against their struggling opponents. The addition of fresh faces Maatsen and Sancho appear to have provided BVB with some much needed impetus. Bochum do not tend to travel particularly well, having been thrashed by Stuttgart, Bayern Munich, and Bayer Leverkusen already this season. We are struggling to see beyond a comfortable victory for the hosts, who will move back into the top four if they claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 72.84%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 11.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 3-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.75%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	VfL Bochum
72.84% ( 0.61)	15.43% ( -0.04)	11.73% ( -0.57)

Both teams to score 59.12% (

-1.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.27% (

-1.44)

28.73% (

1.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.35% (

-1.79)

49.65% (

1.78)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.16% (

-0.22)

6.84% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.81% (

-0.59)

25.19% (

0.59)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.46% (

-1.9)

36.54% (

1.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.67% (

-1.97)

73.33% (

1.96)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 72.84%

VfL Bochum 11.73%

Draw 15.43%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	VfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.54) 3-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.39) 1-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.48) 4-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.23) 5-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.19) 5-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.12) 6-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.05) 6-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.55% Total : 72.84%	1-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.26% Total : 15.43%	1-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.88% Total : 11.73%