Championship

Championship | Gameweek 31

Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK

Stadium of Light

Sunderland
3 - 1
Plymouth

Ekwah (52'), Clarke (59'), Bellingham (67')
Ba (10')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hardie (39')
Whittaker (24'), Phillips (33'), Mumba (44'), Gyabi (69'), Sorinola (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Sunderland
Sunday, February 4 at 12pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Plymouth 1-4 Leeds
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sunderland 2-2 Plymouth Argyle

Although Sunderland are the marginal favourites for this contest, it feels as though they are playing a resurgent Plymouth at the wrong time. With their new signings back in the side, we expect the Pilgrims to earn a share of the spoils in an entertaining tussle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 56.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 20.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
56.75% ( 0.08)	22.37% ( -0.03)	20.88% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 55.13% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.13% (

0.06)

43.87% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.75% (

0.06)

66.25% (

-0.05)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.75% (

0.05)

15.25% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.07% (

0.09)

43.93% (

-0.09)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.04% (

-0.02)

34.95% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.3% (

-0.02)

71.7% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Sunderland 56.75%

Plymouth Argyle 20.88%

Draw 22.36%

Sunderland	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 56.75%	1-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.36%	0-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 20.88%