Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 7, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Guarani0 - 1Sportivo
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Guarani and Sportivo Luqueno.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Defensa 1-1 Sportivo
Wednesday, November 4 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, November 4 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guarani win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Sportivo Luqueno had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guarani win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Sportivo Luqueno win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Guarani | Draw | Sportivo Luqueno |
39.02% ( 0.17) | 26.12% ( -0.02) | 34.86% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 53.69% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.2% ( 0.07) | 50.8% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.31% ( 0.06) | 72.69% ( -0.06) |
Guarani Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.48% ( 0.12) | 25.52% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.62% ( 0.17) | 60.37% ( -0.17) |
Sportivo Luqueno Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.09% ( -0.05) | 27.91% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.47% ( -0.07) | 63.53% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Guarani 39.02%
Sportivo Luqueno 34.86%
Draw 26.11%
Guarani | Draw | Sportivo Luqueno |
1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 39.02% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 34.86% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-18 09:55:30
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Chelsea | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 75 | 62 | 13 | 60 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 81 | 60 | 21 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 57 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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