EFL Trophy | Third Round

Jan 23, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Weston Homes Stadium

Peterborough
2 - 1
Crawley

Burrows (28'), Mason-Clark (37')
Burrows (83')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Tsaroulla (23')
Kelly (5'), Lolas (88')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Peterborough United and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Peterborough 2-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crawley Town

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Crawley 0-1 Salford City
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Peterborough United 3-1 Crawley Town

With both teams likely showing ambition to reach Wembley now that they have reached this stage, we expect full-strength sides to be named. However, that will only benefit Peterborough, who we think will record a relatively comfortable win on home territory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 65.82%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 16.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.3%) and 3-1 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Peterborough United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Peterborough United.

Result
Peterborough United	Draw	Crawley Town
65.82% ( -0)	17.97%	16.21%

Both teams to score 62.08% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.28% (

-0)

30.72% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.94% (

-0)

52.05% (

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.23% (

-0)

8.77% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.89% (

-0)

30.1% (

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.04% (

-0)

31.95% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.59% (

-0)

68.41%

Score Analysis

Peterborough United 65.82%

Crawley Town 16.21%

Draw 17.97%

Peterborough United	Draw	Crawley Town
2-1 @ 9.47% 2-0 @ 8.3% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.68% 1-0 @ 6.82% 3-0 @ 6.73% 4-1 @ 4.68% 3-2 @ 4.38% 4-0 @ 4.1% 4-2 @ 2.67% 5-1 @ 2.28% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2% 5-2 @ 1.3% 4-3 @ 1.01% 6-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.48% Total : 65.82%	1-1 @ 7.78% 2-2 @ 5.4% 0-0 @ 2.8% 3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.32% Total : 17.97%	1-2 @ 4.44% 0-1 @ 3.2% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-2 @ 1.82% 1-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 3.01% Total : 16.21%