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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 50.01%. A win for Vitesse has a probability of 29.08% and a draw has a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (6.18%) and 0-2 (5.52%). The likeliest Vitesse win is 2-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.28%).
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | Ajax |
29.08% ( -3.79) | 20.91% ( -0.22) | 50.01% ( 4.02) |
Both teams to score 69.97% ( -1.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.51% ( -1.02) | 28.49% ( 1.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.65% ( -1.27) | 49.35% ( 1.28) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.55% ( -2.47) | 20.45% ( 2.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.1% ( -4.08) | 52.9% ( 4.09) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.95% ( 0.84) | 12.05% ( -0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.44% ( 1.75) | 37.55% ( -1.75) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.42) 1-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.42) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.53) 2-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.31) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.31) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.3) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.34) 4-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.83% Total : 29.08% | 1-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.63% Total : 20.91% | 1-2 @ 8.76% ( 0.41) 1-3 @ 6.18% ( 0.48) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.66) 0-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.47) 2-3 @ 4.9% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.57) 1-4 @ 3.27% ( 0.35) 2-4 @ 2.59% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 2.06% ( 0.36) 1-5 @ 1.38% ( 0.19) 3-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.06) 2-5 @ 1.1% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.78% Total : 50.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |