Championship

Championship | Gameweek 22

Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK

St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton
4 - 0
Blackburn

Edozie (44'), Armstrong (64'), Mara (90+7'), Alcaraz (90+9')
Downes (37'), Smallbone (67'), Aribo (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Brittain (26'), Szmodics (67'), Carter (90+10')
Brittain (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Southampton and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Southampton
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Blackburn 2-1 Bristol City
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Southampton 3-1 Blackburn Rovers

Blackburn make the long trip to the South Coast sensing that there is an opportunity to make real headway up the table and into the playoff mix. However, Southampton are due a clinical performance and we feel that may come against opponents who have suffered 10 defeats in 21 league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Blackburn Rovers
45.64% ( -0.76)	22.92% ( 0.15)	31.44% ( 0.61)

Both teams to score 63.81% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.88% (

-0.4)

37.12% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.68% (

-0.44)

59.32% (

0.44)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.29% (

-0.44)

16.71% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.39% (

-0.79)

46.61% (

0.79)

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.62% (

0.16)

23.38% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.63% (

0.23)

57.36% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Southampton 45.64%

Blackburn Rovers 31.44%

Draw 22.92%

Southampton	Draw	Blackburn Rovers
2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.07) Other @ 4.37% Total : 45.64%	1-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.92%	1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.44%