Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30

Apr 21, 2024 at 6pm UK

Campo do Cevadeiro

Casa Pia
1 - 2
Porto

Moreira (37')
Neto (58'), Zolotic (66'), Larrazabal (78')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Galeno (31'), Gonzalez (56')
Wendell (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: Portimonense 2-2 Casa Pia
Sunday, April 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 3-1 Guimaraes
Wednesday, April 17 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Top scorers

With the race for the European spots still wide open, Porto will know the importance of taking all three points here, as failing to do so could see them drop to fifth place by the end of this weekend. However, Os Dragoes picked up a morale-boosting win over Vitoria in midweek, and we feel they will follow up that result with another victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 73.71%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 9.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.5%) and 0-3 (10.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Porto
9.19% ( -0.02)	17.1% ( 0.03)	73.71% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 42.52% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.06% (

-0.2)

44.94% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.71% (

-0.19)

67.29% (

0.19)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.59% (

-0.17)

52.41% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.73% (

-0.11)

86.27% (

0.11)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.34% (

-0.05)

10.66% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.48% (

-0.13)

34.52% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 9.19%

Porto 73.69%

Draw 17.1%

Casa Pia	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 9.19%	1-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.51% Total : 17.1%	0-2 @ 13.99% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 10.44% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.75% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 5.85% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.78% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.69% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 0-6 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 73.69%