Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Monza had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Lazio |
32.19% ( -0.42) | 25.35% ( -0.37) | 42.47% ( 0.8) |
Both teams to score 55.55% ( 1.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.92% ( 1.49) | 48.08% ( -1.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.75% ( 1.35) | 70.25% ( -1.35) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.73% ( 0.46) | 28.27% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.02% ( 0.58) | 63.98% ( -0.58) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.44% ( 1.04) | 22.56% ( -1.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.85% ( 1.52) | 56.15% ( -1.52) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.19% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.4) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 7.07% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.23% Total : 42.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |