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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Milan logo

Hellas Verona
1 - 2
AC Milan

Gunter (19')
Magnani (67'), Hongla (68'), Faraoni (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Veloso (9' og.), Tonali (81')
Hernandez (81'), Rebic (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 0-2 Chelsea
Tuesday, October 11 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Hellas Verona 0-2 AC Milan

The last Serie A draw between Verona and Milan at the Bentegodi was in December 2000, and that run is set to remain unbroken as the champions claim victory again. Despite their absences, the Rossoneri have too much pace and guile for their hosts to handle and should score at least twice. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 64.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 16.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.85%) and 0-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 2-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawAC Milan
16.34% (0.883 0.88) 19.59% (0.265 0.27) 64.07% (-1.148 -1.15)
Both teams to score 56.14% (1.168 1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.56% (0.52200000000001 0.52)38.44% (-0.521 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.27% (0.55200000000001 0.55)60.73% (-0.551 -0.55)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.33% (1.424 1.42)36.67% (-1.425 -1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.54% (1.401 1.4)73.46% (-1.401 -1.4)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.65% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)11.36% (0.152 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.94% (-0.329 -0.33)36.06% (0.33000000000001 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 16.34%
    AC Milan 64.07%
    Draw 19.59%
Hellas VeronaDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 4.56% (0.207 0.21)
1-0 @ 4.18% (0.058 0.06)
2-0 @ 2.1% (0.107 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.66% (0.126 0.13)
3-1 @ 1.52% (0.124 0.12)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 16.34%
1-1 @ 9.09% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.196 0.2)
0-0 @ 4.16% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.59%
1-2 @ 9.89% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.85% (-0.366 -0.37)
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.284 -0.28)
1-3 @ 7.17% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 7.15% (-0.315 -0.32)
1-4 @ 3.9% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-4 @ 3.89% (-0.197 -0.2)
2-3 @ 3.6% (0.122 0.12)
2-4 @ 1.96% (0.055 0.05)
1-5 @ 1.7% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.69% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 64.07%

How you voted: Hellas Verona vs AC Milan

Hellas Verona
10.8%
Draw
7.8%
AC Milan
81.4%
102
Head to Head
May 8, 2022 7.45pm
Hellas Verona
1-3
AC Milan
Faraoni (38')
Faraoni (45+1'), Ilic (70')
Tonali (45+3', 50'), Florenzi (86')
Leao (45+1')
Oct 16, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
3-2
Hellas Verona
Giroud (59'), Kessie (76' pen.), Gunter (78' og.)
Ballo-Toure (81')
Caprari (7'), Barak (24' pen.)
Ceccherini (5'), Kalinic (25'), Casale (38'), Veloso (54')
Mar 7, 2021 2pm
Nov 8, 2020 7.45pm
AC Milan
2-2
Hellas Verona
Magnani (27' og.), Ibrahimovic (90+3')
Bennacer (54')
Barak (6'), Calabria (19' og.)
Ceccherini (33'), Lovato (42'), Tameze (90+1')
Feb 2, 2020 2pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta372161070393169
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina371691258441457
9Torino381314113636053
10Napoli381314115548753
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
17Empoli3899202954-2536
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917


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