Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 17

Jan 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

U-Power Stadium

Monza
2 - 2
Inter Milan

Ciurria (11'), Dumfries (90+3' og.)

FT(HT: 1-2)

Darmian (10'), Martinez (22')
Mkhitaryan (71'), Gagliardini (77'), Inzaghi (85'), Skriniar (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Monza and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Fiorentina 1-1 Monza
Wednesday, January 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Napoli
Wednesday, January 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Monza 1-2 Inter Milan

Under Palladino, it is clear that Monza are credible contenders to stay up at the end of their debut Serie A season, but beating in-form Inter will prove a bridge too far. The visitors' defeat of Napoli has only boosted confidence in the camp, and they can breach even a much-improved Biancorossi defence more than once. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 49.66%. A win for Monza had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Monza win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Monza	Draw	Inter Milan
26.49% ( 0.01)	23.85% ( 0)	49.66% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 56.96% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.4% (

-0.01)

44.6% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.04% (

-0.01)

66.96% (

0.01)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.51% (

30.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.29% (

-0)

66.71% (

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.95% (

-0.01)

18.04% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.06% (

-0.02)

48.94% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Monza 26.49%

Inter Milan 49.66%

Draw 23.85%

Monza	Draw	Inter Milan
2-1 @ 6.65% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.54% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.88% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.25% 3-0 @ 1.54% ( 0) Other @ 3.01% Total : 26.49%	1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.69% 0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.85%	1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.42% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.07% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.47% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.6% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.25% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.34% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.97% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 3.57% Total : 49.66%