Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 13
Oct 28, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
Szczecin2 - 1Jagiellonia
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Pogon Szczecin and Jagiellonia Bialystok.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Piast Gliwice 0-0 Szczecin
Friday, October 20 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Friday, October 20 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
22
Last Game: Lech Poznan 3-3 Jagiellonia
Tuesday, October 24 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Tuesday, October 24 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 49.66%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.8%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Pogon Szczecin in this match.
Result | ||
Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
49.66% ( -0.37) | 22.1% ( 0.15) | 28.24% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 64.73% ( -0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.97% ( -0.55) | 35.03% ( 0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.98% ( -0.62) | 57.02% ( 0.62) |
Pogon Szczecin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.51% ( -0.32) | 14.5% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.51% ( -0.63) | 42.49% ( 0.63) |
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.7% ( -0.14) | 24.3% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.32% ( -0.2) | 58.68% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Pogon Szczecin 49.66%
Jagiellonia Bialystok 28.24%
Draw 22.1%
Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) 4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.5% Total : 49.66% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 2% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.1% | 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 28.24% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-19 09:18:45
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 74 | 45 | 29 | 60 |
2 | Slask Wroclaw | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 60 |
3 | Legia WarsawLegia | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 53 |
4 | Gornik ZabrzeGornik | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 53 |
5 | Pogon SzczecinSzczecin | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 58 | 38 | 20 | 52 |
6 | Rakow CzestochowaRakow | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 52 |
7 | Lech Poznan | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Zaglebie Lubin | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 44 |
9 | Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice | 33 | 9 | 16 | 8 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 43 |
10 | Stal Mielec | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 43 |
11 | Widzew Lodz | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 42 |
12 | Radomiak Radom | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 38 |
13 | Warta Poznan | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 37 |
14 | Puszcza Niepolomice | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
15 | KS CracoviaCracovia | 32 | 7 | 15 | 10 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 36 |
16 | Korona Kielce | 33 | 7 | 14 | 12 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 35 |
17 | Ruch Chorzow | 33 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 29 |
18 | LKS Lodz | 32 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 30 | 71 | -41 | 21 |
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