Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 52.98%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 24.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | SC Farense |
52.98% ( 0.19) | 22.92% ( -0.1) | 24.1% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 57.63% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.42% ( 0.39) | 42.58% ( -0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.02% ( 0.39) | 64.98% ( -0.39) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.92% ( 0.21) | 16.08% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.53% ( 0.38) | 45.46% ( -0.38) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.68% ( 0.14) | 31.32% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.32% ( 0.16) | 67.68% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | SC Farense |
2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.44% Total : 52.98% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.91% | 1-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 24.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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