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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 20, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Vizela

Braga
2 - 1
Vizela

Zalazar (53', 85')
Ruiz (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Essende (50')
Quina (17'), Samu (41'), Ruberto (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 0-1 Braga
Saturday, April 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 0-1 Chaves
Monday, April 15 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 3-1 Vizela

Both these sides need three points here but for very different reasons. Based on form and league position, the hosts should come through this one with a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 74.2%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 9.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.72%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawVizela
74.2% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01) 15.94% (0.0050000000000008 0.01) 9.85% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 49.45% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.7% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)37.29% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.49% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)59.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)8.59% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.33% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)29.66% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.09% (0.0020000000000024 0)45.9% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)81.64% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Braga 74.2%
    Vizela 9.85%
    Draw 15.94%
BragaDrawVizela
2-0 @ 11.87%
3-0 @ 9.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 9.68% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 7.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 5.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 4.65% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.93% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-1 @ 2.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.81%
6-0 @ 1.2%
6-1 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 74.2%
1-1 @ 7.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.94% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 3.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 15.94%
0-1 @ 3.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 2.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 9.85%

How you voted: Braga vs Vizela

Braga
95.5%
Draw
4.5%
Vizela
0.0%
22
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 13
Vizela
1-3
Braga
Essende (72')
Ortiz (45+3'), Busnic (78'), Escoval (81')
Banza (15', 56'), Bruma (90+6')
Borja (89')
Mar 11, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 24
Vizela
0-4
Braga
Elmusrati (43'), Medeiros (49', 65'), Horta (75')
Sep 18, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 7
Braga
2-0
Vizela
Oliveira (83'), Horta (90+5')
Apr 10, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 29
Vizela
0-1
Braga

Alvarado (50'), Fernandes (67'), Anderson (75')
Medeiros (39')
Carmo (6'), Horta (13'), Magalhaes (88'), Mineiro (90+1')
Oliveira (44')
Nov 30, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 12
Braga
4-1
Vizela
Horta (27', 45' pen.), Silva (57'), Ruiz (90+3')
Moura (84')
Kouao (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon34293296296790
2Benfica34255477284980
3Porto34226663273672
4Braga34215871502168
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes34196952381463
6MoreirenseMoreirense34167113635155
7AroucaArouca34137145450446
8FamalicaoFamalicao341012123741-442
9Casa Pia34108163850-1238
10SC FarenseFarense34107174651-537
11Rio AveRio Ave3461993843-537
12Gil Vicente3499164252-1036
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3496194958-933
14Estrela Amadora34712153353-2033
15BoavistaBoavista34711163962-2332
16PortimonensePortimonense3488183972-3332
RVizela34511183666-3026
RChavesChaves3458213172-4123


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